Border Patrol thermal camera footage captured a nocturnal object that skimmed the runway, crossed shoreline foliage, entered the Atlantic, resurfaced, and bifurcated before submerging again. Independent radar data1 and witness logs corroborate the flight path and water entry.
The video prompted competing interpretations. Scientific Coalition for UAP Studies2 measured eighty-plus mph underwater motion and no thermal plume; skeptical analysts3 identified parallax errors and wind-borne lantern profiles. The divergence frames subsequent inquiry.
Personnel
Timeline
Evidence
Assessment
The record displays high-fidelity multi-sensor convergence: primary radar, cockpit testimony, and stabilized infrared imagery constrain hoax probability. Kinematic modeling yields continuous ≈90 mph translation through water with negligible deceleration — performance surpassing known aerodynamic or unmanned platforms. Thermal invariance post-dousing further weakens pyrotechnic-lantern hypotheses.
Nevertheless, critical shortcomings remain. Exact witness names, raw sensor telemetry, and tower audio were withheld; MX-15D range-to-target reading snapped to underlying terrain, introducing parallax artifacts exploitable by skeptical balloon models. Upper-air winds from 080° at 15 kt coincide with observed ground track, sustaining the mundane explanation5.
Future adjudication requires release of high-frame-rate sensor metadata, Doppler radar phase returns, and contemporaneous ADS-B archives. Until then, the Aguadilla sequence persists as an ambiguous exemplar: neither conventional nor demonstrably non-human.
References
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FAA RADES FOIA response #14-241 (2014) ↩
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SCU – Detailed Analysis of the 2013 Aguadilla Puerto Rico UAP Incident (2015) ↩
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Mick West, "Aguadilla – UFO Analysis with Lines of Sight," YouTube, 2024-02-17 ↩
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FedEx Flight 58 delay log, FlightStats archive, 25 Apr 2013 ↩
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National Weather Service upper-air sounding TJSJ, 00 UTC 26 Apr 2013 ↩